US ECONOMIC DATA CHARTS
SEVEN BULLS INC. | MACRO & MICRO ECONOMICS
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Macro Economics
Micro Economics
Nominal GDP
$ Trillions
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QUARTERLY
Real GDP Growth
% QoQ
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Federal Surplus / Deficit
$ Billions
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MONTHLY
Federal Debt (% GDP)
% of GDP
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QUARTERLY
CPI Inflation
%
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Core CPI
%
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Unemployment Rate
%
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MONTHLY
Labor Force Participation
%
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Federal Funds Rate
%
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MONTHLY
10-Year Treasury Yield
%
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DAILY
Industrial Production
Index
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Macro Insights
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GDP Momentum
Real GDP growth above
2%
indicates economic expansion. Current trend shows
moderate growth
with services leading.
Inflation Watch
Core CPI above
3%
suggests persistent inflation. Fed target remains
2%
. Monitor wage-price spiral risks.
Labor Market
Unemployment below
4%
indicates
tight labor market
. Participation rate stability supports wage growth sustainability.
Fiscal Health
Debt-to-GDP ratio above
100%
signals elevated fiscal risk. Interest payments as % of revenue rising.
Monetary Policy
Yield curve shape indicates
tightening impact
. Fed balance sheet normalization continues.
Treasury Yield Curve
% Yield
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MULTI-SERIES
Corporate Profits After Tax
$ Billions
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QUARTERLY
Corporate Profits / GDP Ratio
%
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Business Investment
$ Billions
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Average Hourly Earnings
$
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MONTHLY
Job Openings
Thousands
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Housing Starts
Thousands
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MONTHLY
Building Permits
Thousands
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Home Prices
Index
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VIX Volatility Index
Index
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Market Cap to GDP Ratio
%
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30-Year Treasury Yield
%
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DAILY
Federal Interest Payments
$ Billions
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QUARTERLY
Economic Insights & Analysis
Market Valuation
The
Buffett Indicator
(Market Cap/GDP) currently suggests
moderate valuation
. Levels above 120% indicate overvaluation, while below 80% suggest undervaluation.
Housing Market
Current
building permits
and
housing starts
indicate
steady growth
in residential construction, supporting economic expansion.
Labor Dynamics
Job openings
remain elevated relative to historical averages, suggesting continued
employer demand
despite Fed tightening measures.
Corporate Health
Corporate profits
as percentage of GDP show
strong corporate sector performance
, though margin pressures may emerge.
Yield Curve Analysis
The current
yield curve shape
indicates
potential economic headwinds
. Inversion typically precedes economic slowdowns by 12-18 months.
Risk Indicators
VIX levels
below 20 suggest
market complacency
. Monitor for spikes above 30 indicating elevated fear and potential volatility.